NY-MOODY’S-ANALYTICS
4.6.2020 14:02:09 CEST | Business Wire | Press release
According to the Moody’s Analytics baseline economic forecast, real global GDP will fall by 4.5% this year as a result of COVID-19. Our base case for the US suggests that it will take until mid-decade for the economy to return to full-employment. Mark Zandi, Chief Economist at Moody’s Analytics, describes the outlook in a new paper, Handicapping the Paths for the Pandemic Economy .
“COVID-19 has caused massive damage to the global economy. Quickly reopening economies will boost growth by unleashing pent-up demand, but will also raise the specter of a re-intensification of COVID-19 and another economic downdraft, which could lead to a worldwide depression. We construct our economic forecasts to help market participants navigate this daunting uncertainty and make better decisions,” said Mr. Zandi.
The Moody’s Analytics baseline economic forecast represents our view of the most likely trajectory for the global economy. The baseline forecast is part of a set of 12 forecast scenarios , updated monthly, that project alternative economic paths for more than 100 countries as well as sub-national regions in major markets. These scenarios are driven by different assumptions regarding the epidemiology of COVID-19, demand-side factors including monetary and fiscal policies, and longer-run structural forces such as sovereign debt loads and globalization. To help users, each scenario is assigned a probability based on its relative severity and our view of how likely it is to occur.
“Given the unprecedented uncertainty around the path of the virus and the policy response, we maintain several alternative scenarios that cover a range of possible outcomes to help users assess the impact on their businesses and portfolios,” added Mr. Zandi. “Our global team of economists is dedicated to developing scenarios that account for current conditions and the various risks facing economies that may impact their outlook.”
Forecasts are based on the Moody’s Analytics Global Macroeconomic Model, which balances economic theory and empirical behavior and is fully documented and validated. In addition to the probability-weighted monthly scenarios, Moody’s Analytics produces ad hoc thematic economic scenarios that forecast potential outcomes in the event of significant policy shifts or changes to economic fundamentals. Our new Global Debt Crisis thematic scenario examines the consequences of high and rising sovereign debt in the event that global growth slows and governments in both developed and emerging markets are unable to address their high and rising debt loads.
Our economic forecast scenarios can be accessed and downloaded in a variety of formats through a standalone subscription or with our dedicated economic and credit risk modeling tools.
The accuracy of our forecasting was recently recognized in the 2020 FocusEconomics Analyst Forecast Awards, where Moody’s Analytics ranked #1 in 14 categories.
Our economic forecast scenarios are one of a number of Moody’s Analytics solutions that help leaders across industries make better decisions in the COVID-19 environment.
About Moody’s Analytics
Moody’s Analytics provides financial intelligence and analytical tools to help business leaders make better, faster decisions. Our deep risk expertise, expansive information resources, and innovative application of technology help our clients confidently navigate an evolving marketplace. We are known for our industry-leading and award-winning solutions, made up of research, data, software, and professional services, assembled to deliver a seamless customer experience. We create confidence in thousands of organizations worldwide, with our commitment to excellence, open mindset approach, and focus on meeting customer needs. For more information about Moody’s Analytics, visit our website or connect with us on Twitter or LinkedIn .
Moody's Analytics, Inc. is a subsidiary of Moody's Corporation (NYSE: MCO). Moody’s Corporation reported revenue of $4.8 billion in 2019, employs approximately 11,300 people worldwide and maintains a presence in 40 countries.
View source version on businesswire.com: https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20200604005227/en/
Link:
About Business Wire
Subscribe to releases from Business Wire
Subscribe to all the latest releases from Business Wire by registering your e-mail address below. You can unsubscribe at any time.
Latest releases from Business Wire
Brenus Pharma Welcomes New European and Asia-Pacific Life Sciences Investors in Series A Extension20.7.2026 22:00:00 CEST | Press release
Brenus Pharma today announced an €11 million ($12.6M) extension to its Series A round, bringing total capital raised since inception to €38 million ($43.5M). This funding reflects strong execution across clinical, regulatory, and business development milestones, de-risking STC-1010 (NCT06934538): lead clinical-stage in-vivo immunotherapy for MSS mCRC, while positioning the company’s proprietary platform for multi-asset expansion. The round was supported by strong follow-on participation from existing investors, including Angelor, UI Investissement (managing FRAI), Crédit Agricole (CACE Création, CACF Capital Innovation), Noshaq, Orsa (formerly Investsud), BIO JAG, and Bpifrance (through non-dilutive funding). This round also welcomes two new international investors: Sambrinvest, strengthening the company’s European shareholder base, and Korea Omega Investment Corp, marking its first institutional investment from the Asia-Pacific region. "We couldn't be more confident in our first inves
Hollywood Chamber of Commerce Expands Into Luxury Hospitality20.7.2026 18:30:00 CEST | Press release
Hollywood Hotels & Residences to Bring the Spirit of Hollywood to Luxury Destinations Worldwide The Hollywood Chamber of Commerce, known for the iconic Hollywood Sign® and Hollywood Walk of Fame®, is expanding into luxury hospitality through a strategic partnership with The Scene Hotels & Resorts to launch Hollywood Hotels & Residences. This press release features multimedia. View the full release here: https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20260720026178/en/ The Scene Hotels & Resorts, with 40+ years of combined expertise in hospitality, travel, and brand development, will lead the brand’s development and management. The partnership will bring the Hollywood lifestyle to luxury hotels and branded residences around the world, creating immersive destinations inspired by the world's entertainment capital. "This partnership represents far more than an expansion of the Hollywood brand—it reflects our vision of Hollywood as the world's premier hub for entertainment, creativity, and commerce
Andersen Consulting udvider med samarbejdsfirmaet Smartbridge20.7.2026 17:54:00 CEST | Pressemeddelelse
Andersen Consulting annoncerer en samarbejdsaftale med Smartbridge, et Texas-baseret firma, der tilbyder digitale løsninger og AI-teknologi, og forbedrer dermed sine kapaciteter inden for data og analyse samt digitale transformationstjenester. Smartbridge blev grundlagt i 2003 og hjælper organisationer med at accelerere deres digitale transformation og modernisere driften gennem digital innovation, AI, data og analyse samt applikationsmoderniseringstjenester. Firmaet arbejder med kunder inden for olie- og gas-, medtech- og restaurationsbranchen og kombinerer rådgivnings- og teknologitjenester for at muliggøre erhvervsvirksomheders transformation og vækst. Ved at udnytte strategiske relationer med førende teknologileverandører hjælper Smartbridge organisationer med at forbinde data, forbedre beslutningstagning og accelerere forretningsresultater. "I dag ønsker organisationer at accelerere deres digitale omstilling og AI-transformation og søger praktiske måder at omsætte innovation til m
Epic Flight Academy Agrees to Purchase up to 50 Pipistrel Voyager Aircraft, Supplementing Its Fleet of Trainers as It Supports Continued Pilot Training20.7.2026 17:38:00 CEST | Press release
Pipistrel, a Textron Inc. (NYSE: TXT) company and an affiliate of Textron Aviation Inc., today announced Epic Flight Academy as the launch customer for the Pipistrel Voyager during Textron Aviation’s press conference at EAA AirVenture 2026. The company has signed a purchase agreement for up to 50 Voyager aircraft, with an order for 10 initial deliveries beginning in 2027, and options for up to 20 additional aircraft in 2028 and 20 in 2029, supporting the continued expansion of its training fleet and growing demand for pilot training. This press release features multimedia. View the full release here: https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20260720003143/en/ Epic Flight Academy agrees to purchase up to 50 Pipistrel Voyager aircraft, supplementing its fleet of trainers as it supports continued pilot training (Photo Credit: Pipistrel, a Textron Inc. company and an affiliate of Textron Aviation Inc.) Epic Flight Academy is a Florida-based flight training provider offering FAA Part 141 and
New Pipistrel Voyager Brings Next Generation Training Capabilities and Access to Flight Schools20.7.2026 15:00:00 CEST | Press release
Debuting at EAA AirVenture 2026 in Oshkosh, the world’s largest aviation gathering Pipistrel, a Textron Inc. (NYSE: TXT) company and an affiliate of Textron Aviation Inc., today introduced the Pipistrel Voyager, a next-generation training aircraft designed to expand capability for flight schools while maintaining the efficiency and simplicity owners and operators expect from Pipistrel. Purpose-built for evolving pilot training requirements, the Voyager is designed to align with anticipated Modernization of Special Airworthiness Certification (MOSAIC) regulations. This positions the aircraft to support broader training missions while improving access to pilot development. The aircraft is expected to enter into service in 2027. This press release features multimedia. View the full release here: https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20260720673571/en/ New Pipistrel Voyager brings next generation training capabilities and access to flight schools (Photo Credit: Pipistrel, a Textron Inc. c
In our pressroom you can read all our latest releases, find our press contacts, images, documents and other relevant information about us.
Visit our pressroom