NY-MOODY’S-ANALYTICS
4.6.2020 14:02:09 CEST | Business Wire | Press release
According to the Moody’s Analytics baseline economic forecast, real global GDP will fall by 4.5% this year as a result of COVID-19. Our base case for the US suggests that it will take until mid-decade for the economy to return to full-employment. Mark Zandi, Chief Economist at Moody’s Analytics, describes the outlook in a new paper, Handicapping the Paths for the Pandemic Economy .
“COVID-19 has caused massive damage to the global economy. Quickly reopening economies will boost growth by unleashing pent-up demand, but will also raise the specter of a re-intensification of COVID-19 and another economic downdraft, which could lead to a worldwide depression. We construct our economic forecasts to help market participants navigate this daunting uncertainty and make better decisions,” said Mr. Zandi.
The Moody’s Analytics baseline economic forecast represents our view of the most likely trajectory for the global economy. The baseline forecast is part of a set of 12 forecast scenarios , updated monthly, that project alternative economic paths for more than 100 countries as well as sub-national regions in major markets. These scenarios are driven by different assumptions regarding the epidemiology of COVID-19, demand-side factors including monetary and fiscal policies, and longer-run structural forces such as sovereign debt loads and globalization. To help users, each scenario is assigned a probability based on its relative severity and our view of how likely it is to occur.
“Given the unprecedented uncertainty around the path of the virus and the policy response, we maintain several alternative scenarios that cover a range of possible outcomes to help users assess the impact on their businesses and portfolios,” added Mr. Zandi. “Our global team of economists is dedicated to developing scenarios that account for current conditions and the various risks facing economies that may impact their outlook.”
Forecasts are based on the Moody’s Analytics Global Macroeconomic Model, which balances economic theory and empirical behavior and is fully documented and validated. In addition to the probability-weighted monthly scenarios, Moody’s Analytics produces ad hoc thematic economic scenarios that forecast potential outcomes in the event of significant policy shifts or changes to economic fundamentals. Our new Global Debt Crisis thematic scenario examines the consequences of high and rising sovereign debt in the event that global growth slows and governments in both developed and emerging markets are unable to address their high and rising debt loads.
Our economic forecast scenarios can be accessed and downloaded in a variety of formats through a standalone subscription or with our dedicated economic and credit risk modeling tools.
The accuracy of our forecasting was recently recognized in the 2020 FocusEconomics Analyst Forecast Awards, where Moody’s Analytics ranked #1 in 14 categories.
Our economic forecast scenarios are one of a number of Moody’s Analytics solutions that help leaders across industries make better decisions in the COVID-19 environment.
About Moody’s Analytics
Moody’s Analytics provides financial intelligence and analytical tools to help business leaders make better, faster decisions. Our deep risk expertise, expansive information resources, and innovative application of technology help our clients confidently navigate an evolving marketplace. We are known for our industry-leading and award-winning solutions, made up of research, data, software, and professional services, assembled to deliver a seamless customer experience. We create confidence in thousands of organizations worldwide, with our commitment to excellence, open mindset approach, and focus on meeting customer needs. For more information about Moody’s Analytics, visit our website or connect with us on Twitter or LinkedIn .
Moody's Analytics, Inc. is a subsidiary of Moody's Corporation (NYSE: MCO). Moody’s Corporation reported revenue of $4.8 billion in 2019, employs approximately 11,300 people worldwide and maintains a presence in 40 countries.
View source version on businesswire.com: https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20200604005227/en/
Link:
About Business Wire
Subscribe to releases from Business Wire
Subscribe to all the latest releases from Business Wire by registering your e-mail address below. You can unsubscribe at any time.
Latest releases from Business Wire
Rimini Street Expands C-Suite Leadership for Growth with Appointment of Two Proven Industry Veterans as Chief Operating Officer and Chief Delivery Officer12.8.2026 15:00:00 CEST | Press release
Rimini Street appoints Keith Costello as EVP and Chief Operating Officer and Alexander Guasch as EVP and Chief Delivery Officer Rimini Street, Inc. (Nasdaq: RMNI), the Software Support and Agentic AI ERP Company™ and the leading third-party support provider for Oracle, SAP and VMware software, today announced the appointment of Keith Costello as chief operating officer (COO) and Alexander Guasch as chief delivery officer (CDO). This press release features multimedia. View the full release here: https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20260812127732/en/ Rimini Street Expands C-Suite Leadership for Growth with Appointment of Two Proven Industry Veterans as Chief Operating Officer and Chief Delivery Officer New COO Brings Proven Experience Scaling Organizations for Growth Keith Costello brings decades of experience building and scaling global enterprise software and services organizations, including leading teams of tens of thousands and managing businesses generating billions of dollars i
Brightfin Helps Federal Agencies Plan IT Finances Faster and Cut Telecom Costs Through Knox’s FedRAMP Platform12.8.2026 15:00:00 CEST | Press release
Partnership gives government organizations a compliant path to faster financial planning, more strategic decision-making, operational efficiency, and lower IT and telecom costs Brightfin today announced that its technology spend management solutions are now available to U.S. federal agencies through Knox’s FedRAMP Authorized cloud platform. Deploying on Knox gives public sector organizations a compliant path to faster financial planning cycles, more strategic decision-making, and lower IT and telecom costs, the same discipline commercial enterprises rely on. Brightfin is actively working with Knox toward achieving FedRAMP certification. Federal agencies have long struggled with IT spend data that is siloed and disconnected, limiting their ability to manage hardware and software assets and their associated costs. The result is a reactive posture, scrambling to keep pace with evolving government requirements rather than getting ahead of them. Built natively on ServiceNow, Brightfin turns
illumynt Appoints Matt Popieniuck as Vice President of Customer Success & Delivery12.8.2026 14:00:00 CEST | Press release
28-year Dell Technologies veteran, most recently leading services sustainability strategy, joins to own end-to-end program execution as illumynt scales its AI hardware lifecycle business illumynt, a technology-driven leader in AI hardware lifecycle recovery and IT asset disposition (ITAD), today announced that Matt Popieniuck has joined the company as Vice President of Customer Success & Delivery, effective August 2026. He reports to CEO Jörg Herbarth. This press release features multimedia. View the full release here: https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20260812482293/en/ Matthew Popieniuck, Vice President of Customer Success and Delivery. Popieniuck joins illumynt after 28 years at Dell Technologies, where he progressed from group leadership through senior and principal program management roles before moving into services sustainability strategy. In that most recent chapter, he worked on the question now driving illumynt's market: what happens to enterprise technology after its fi
Ant Group launches AQ for Doctor, bringing an AI-powered workstation to millions of physicians12.8.2026 13:44:00 CEST | Press release
Ant Group today officially upgraded its physician platform, Haodf for Doctor, into AQ for Doctor, an AI-powered workstation designed to support physicians across every stage of clinical practice—from online consultations and patient management to clinical decision support and medical research. The platform is fully integrated with Ant Group's flagship AI health app, AQ, which serves more than 100 million users as of August 2026. This press release features multimedia. View the full release here: https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20260812917154/en/ Ant Group launches AQ for Doctor, bringing an AI-powered workstation to millions of physicians. Connecting doctors and patients through one AI platform "AI will never replace doctors," said Zhang Junjie, Vice President of Ant Group and Head of the Health Business. "But AI can become a trusted assistant for healthcare professionals. Our goal is to build a reliable and practical AI workstation for China's more than five million physicians—
ITC Infotech Strengthens Strategic Tech Partnership With British American Tobacco (BAT) in New Multi-year Mandate12.8.2026 12:30:00 CEST | Press release
ITC Infotech, a leading global technology services and solutions provider, today announced a landmark multi‑year strategic technology deal with British American Tobacco (BAT). Along with BAT, ITC Infotech will accelerate the transformation of BAT’s technology landscape to drive AI-enabled innovation, strengthen skills, and improve efficiencies. In this expanded partnership, ITC Infotech will provide technology services to BAT across Poland, Romania and India. ITC Infotech will also continue to collaborate with BAT to scale capabilities at the newly launched BAT Future Capabilities Centre in India, while supporting BAT’s existing technology hubs in Malaysia and Mexico. This new strategic deal will deepen an already well-established partnership between ITC Infotech and BAT, streamlining end-to-end technology delivery and improving speed, efficiency, and service quality. As part of the deal, ITC Infotech will strengthen its footprint and onshore capabilities in Europe, which will be strat
In our pressroom you can read all our latest releases, find our press contacts, images, documents and other relevant information about us.
Visit our pressroom