NY-MOODY’S-ANALYTICS
4.6.2020 14:02:09 CEST | Business Wire | Press release
According to the Moody’s Analytics baseline economic forecast, real global GDP will fall by 4.5% this year as a result of COVID-19. Our base case for the US suggests that it will take until mid-decade for the economy to return to full-employment. Mark Zandi, Chief Economist at Moody’s Analytics, describes the outlook in a new paper, Handicapping the Paths for the Pandemic Economy .
“COVID-19 has caused massive damage to the global economy. Quickly reopening economies will boost growth by unleashing pent-up demand, but will also raise the specter of a re-intensification of COVID-19 and another economic downdraft, which could lead to a worldwide depression. We construct our economic forecasts to help market participants navigate this daunting uncertainty and make better decisions,” said Mr. Zandi.
The Moody’s Analytics baseline economic forecast represents our view of the most likely trajectory for the global economy. The baseline forecast is part of a set of 12 forecast scenarios , updated monthly, that project alternative economic paths for more than 100 countries as well as sub-national regions in major markets. These scenarios are driven by different assumptions regarding the epidemiology of COVID-19, demand-side factors including monetary and fiscal policies, and longer-run structural forces such as sovereign debt loads and globalization. To help users, each scenario is assigned a probability based on its relative severity and our view of how likely it is to occur.
“Given the unprecedented uncertainty around the path of the virus and the policy response, we maintain several alternative scenarios that cover a range of possible outcomes to help users assess the impact on their businesses and portfolios,” added Mr. Zandi. “Our global team of economists is dedicated to developing scenarios that account for current conditions and the various risks facing economies that may impact their outlook.”
Forecasts are based on the Moody’s Analytics Global Macroeconomic Model, which balances economic theory and empirical behavior and is fully documented and validated. In addition to the probability-weighted monthly scenarios, Moody’s Analytics produces ad hoc thematic economic scenarios that forecast potential outcomes in the event of significant policy shifts or changes to economic fundamentals. Our new Global Debt Crisis thematic scenario examines the consequences of high and rising sovereign debt in the event that global growth slows and governments in both developed and emerging markets are unable to address their high and rising debt loads.
Our economic forecast scenarios can be accessed and downloaded in a variety of formats through a standalone subscription or with our dedicated economic and credit risk modeling tools.
The accuracy of our forecasting was recently recognized in the 2020 FocusEconomics Analyst Forecast Awards, where Moody’s Analytics ranked #1 in 14 categories.
Our economic forecast scenarios are one of a number of Moody’s Analytics solutions that help leaders across industries make better decisions in the COVID-19 environment.
About Moody’s Analytics
Moody’s Analytics provides financial intelligence and analytical tools to help business leaders make better, faster decisions. Our deep risk expertise, expansive information resources, and innovative application of technology help our clients confidently navigate an evolving marketplace. We are known for our industry-leading and award-winning solutions, made up of research, data, software, and professional services, assembled to deliver a seamless customer experience. We create confidence in thousands of organizations worldwide, with our commitment to excellence, open mindset approach, and focus on meeting customer needs. For more information about Moody’s Analytics, visit our website or connect with us on Twitter or LinkedIn .
Moody's Analytics, Inc. is a subsidiary of Moody's Corporation (NYSE: MCO). Moody’s Corporation reported revenue of $4.8 billion in 2019, employs approximately 11,300 people worldwide and maintains a presence in 40 countries.
View source version on businesswire.com: https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20200604005227/en/
Link:
About Business Wire
Subscribe to releases from Business Wire
Subscribe to all the latest releases from Business Wire by registering your e-mail address below. You can unsubscribe at any time.
Latest releases from Business Wire
OpenAI and Yubico Partner to Bring Custom Phishing-Resistant YubiKeys to OpenAI Users30.4.2026 19:13:00 CEST | Press release
New strategic, long-term partnership with OpenAI delivers the gold standard of hardware-backed passkeys to the AI ecosystem Yubico (NASDAQ STOCKHOLM: YUBICO), the pioneer of phishing-resistant authentication and creator of the YubiKey, the gold standard of security keys, today announced an industry-first collaboration with OpenAI, the creator of ChatGPT. Beginning today, people can purchase a new 2-pack set of custom YubiKeys as part of OpenAI’s Advanced Account Security program – enabling them to secure their ChatGPT accounts with security keys, containing the strongest hardware-backed passkeys. Specifically designed for security-conscious users who are at increased risk of targeted digital attacks, the set includes a YubiKey C NFC for tap-to-authenticate on mobile, and a low profile YubiKey C Nano that stays in a port for everyday laptop use – both packed with modern authentication features for the highest level of protection. With OpenAI already using YubiKeys internally to protect
rhode Continues Its Global Retail Expansion Into Sephora Europe30.4.2026 18:00:00 CEST | Press release
This expansion into Sephora Europe increases global access to rhode through physical retail, marking a pivotal next stage for the brand rhode, the beauty brand founded by Hailey Rhode Bieber, will be available at Sephora online and in most stores across Europe beginning this September, following its 2025 rollout with Sephora in the U.S., Canada, and the U.K. This expansion into Sephora Europe increases global access to rhode through physical retail, marking a pivotal next stage for the brand. This press release features multimedia. View the full release here: https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20260430569580/en/ rhode continues its global retail expansion into Sephora Europe. rhode’s collection of high-performance, skin-focused products saw strong performance in Sephora U.S. and Canada as the biggest brand launch in the retailer’s history in North America. When launched in November 2025 in the U.K., rhode was also the largest brand launch in Sephora U.K.’s history. “I’m so excited
ABS Acquires RMC Global to Strengthen Cyber, Risk and Resilience Capabilities30.4.2026 17:46:00 CEST | Press release
Acquisition to Deliver Stronger, More Integrated Solutions for Clients ABS, through its affiliate ABSG Consulting Inc. (ABS Consulting), has today announced the acquisition of RMC Global (RMC), a leading provider of industrial cybersecurity, risk management and resiliency solutions. This press release features multimedia. View the full release here: https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20260430164690/en/ (L to R): Vince Kuchar, President, RMC Global, and David Wechsler, President and CEO, ABS Group The acquisition strengthens ABS Consulting’s capabilities and market position, bringing together two organizations with complementary expertise, shared values and a common mission. Combining RMC’s capabilities with ABS Consulting’s scale, technical depth and global resources, unlocks more integrated solutions for clients operating in increasingly complex risk environments. ABS Chairman and CEO John McDonald said: “Clients are facing increasing operational risk, cyber threats, and regulator
Brightfin Unveils AI-Native Platform for IT Financial Management30.4.2026 17:00:00 CEST | Press release
Brightfin clients drive their businesses forward with the first AI Native Cost Optimization Platform Brightfin, the only ITFM and Technology Expense Management solution built natively on ServiceNow, today announced an AI-Native architecture that fundamentally improves how organizations manage IT spend. Rather than bolting AI onto legacy systems, Brightfin has engineered intelligence from the ground up - starting with the data, building contextual awareness on top of it, and delivering AI agents that speak the language of IT finance. Brightfin’s unified budget-to-billing data model creates a stable, governed foundation that connects contracts, invoices, inventory, and budgets into a single source of truth - something no external ITFM tool or native platform module can replicate. This is a structured financial backbone purpose-built for enterprise IT spend, and it’s what makes everything above it possible. A context-aware, AI-Native, intelligence layer understands relationships across th
SINOVAC Files Annual Report on Form 20-F for the Fiscal Year 202430.4.2026 15:22:00 CEST | Press release
Sinovac Biotech Ltd. (Nasdaq: SVA) (“SINOVAC” or the “Company”), a leading provider of biopharmaceutical products in China, today announced that it filed its annual report on Form 20-F for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2024 (the “Annual Report”) with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”). An electronic copy of the Annual Report can be accessed on SINOVAC’s investor relations website at https://www.sinovac.com/en-us/Investors and on the SEC’s website at www.sec.gov. About SINOVAC Sinovac Biotech Ltd. (SINOVAC) is a China-based global biopharmaceutical company, with a mission of “supply vaccines to eliminate human diseases”, the company specializes in the research, development, manufacturing and commercialization of vaccines and related biological products that protect against human infectious diseases. The company’s diversified portfolio includes vaccines for influenza, viral hepatitis, varicella, Hand-Foot-Mouth disease (HFMD), poliomyelitis, pneumococcal disease, et
In our pressroom you can read all our latest releases, find our press contacts, images, documents and other relevant information about us.
Visit our pressroom