NY-MOODY’S-ANALYTICS
4.6.2020 14:02:09 CEST | Business Wire | Press release
According to the Moody’s Analytics baseline economic forecast, real global GDP will fall by 4.5% this year as a result of COVID-19. Our base case for the US suggests that it will take until mid-decade for the economy to return to full-employment. Mark Zandi, Chief Economist at Moody’s Analytics, describes the outlook in a new paper, Handicapping the Paths for the Pandemic Economy .
“COVID-19 has caused massive damage to the global economy. Quickly reopening economies will boost growth by unleashing pent-up demand, but will also raise the specter of a re-intensification of COVID-19 and another economic downdraft, which could lead to a worldwide depression. We construct our economic forecasts to help market participants navigate this daunting uncertainty and make better decisions,” said Mr. Zandi.
The Moody’s Analytics baseline economic forecast represents our view of the most likely trajectory for the global economy. The baseline forecast is part of a set of 12 forecast scenarios , updated monthly, that project alternative economic paths for more than 100 countries as well as sub-national regions in major markets. These scenarios are driven by different assumptions regarding the epidemiology of COVID-19, demand-side factors including monetary and fiscal policies, and longer-run structural forces such as sovereign debt loads and globalization. To help users, each scenario is assigned a probability based on its relative severity and our view of how likely it is to occur.
“Given the unprecedented uncertainty around the path of the virus and the policy response, we maintain several alternative scenarios that cover a range of possible outcomes to help users assess the impact on their businesses and portfolios,” added Mr. Zandi. “Our global team of economists is dedicated to developing scenarios that account for current conditions and the various risks facing economies that may impact their outlook.”
Forecasts are based on the Moody’s Analytics Global Macroeconomic Model, which balances economic theory and empirical behavior and is fully documented and validated. In addition to the probability-weighted monthly scenarios, Moody’s Analytics produces ad hoc thematic economic scenarios that forecast potential outcomes in the event of significant policy shifts or changes to economic fundamentals. Our new Global Debt Crisis thematic scenario examines the consequences of high and rising sovereign debt in the event that global growth slows and governments in both developed and emerging markets are unable to address their high and rising debt loads.
Our economic forecast scenarios can be accessed and downloaded in a variety of formats through a standalone subscription or with our dedicated economic and credit risk modeling tools.
The accuracy of our forecasting was recently recognized in the 2020 FocusEconomics Analyst Forecast Awards, where Moody’s Analytics ranked #1 in 14 categories.
Our economic forecast scenarios are one of a number of Moody’s Analytics solutions that help leaders across industries make better decisions in the COVID-19 environment.
About Moody’s Analytics
Moody’s Analytics provides financial intelligence and analytical tools to help business leaders make better, faster decisions. Our deep risk expertise, expansive information resources, and innovative application of technology help our clients confidently navigate an evolving marketplace. We are known for our industry-leading and award-winning solutions, made up of research, data, software, and professional services, assembled to deliver a seamless customer experience. We create confidence in thousands of organizations worldwide, with our commitment to excellence, open mindset approach, and focus on meeting customer needs. For more information about Moody’s Analytics, visit our website or connect with us on Twitter or LinkedIn .
Moody's Analytics, Inc. is a subsidiary of Moody's Corporation (NYSE: MCO). Moody’s Corporation reported revenue of $4.8 billion in 2019, employs approximately 11,300 people worldwide and maintains a presence in 40 countries.
View source version on businesswire.com: https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20200604005227/en/
Link:
About Business Wire
Subscribe to releases from Business Wire
Subscribe to all the latest releases from Business Wire by registering your e-mail address below. You can unsubscribe at any time.
Latest releases from Business Wire
Laserfiche Earns 5-Star Rating in the 2026 CRN® Partner Program Guide11.3.2026 15:00:00 CET | Press release
Laserfiche — the leading SaaS provider of intelligent content management — has been honored by CRN®, a brand of The Channel Company, with a 5-Star Award in the 2026 CRN Partner Program Guide. This annual guide is an essential resource for partners seeking vendor partner programs that match their business goals and deliver high partner value. As organizations navigate growing pressure to increase productivity and respond to regulatory change, Laserfiche’s AI-powered document management solutions enable users to transform operations and achieve meaningful business results at scale. Partners that innovate with Laserfiche solutions have the opportunity to grow profits through the Laserfiche Partner Program, which equips them with the tools and resources needed to deliver customer success. Laserfiche’s partner ecosystem drives sustainable growth, delivers differentiated solutions and maximizes opportunities for both partners and their customers. Laserfiche provides comprehensive AI and clou
I-Pulse Launches iTerra Pulsed Power Solution for Weed Control Without Chemicals11.3.2026 14:30:00 CET | Press release
iTerra is developing a non-chemical alternative to herbicidesiTerra combines high pulsed power and AI for weed control to support healthier crops I-Pulse Co-Founder, Chairman, and CEO Robert Friedland, I-Pulse Co-Founder and Chief Technology Officer, Laurent Frescaline, and iTerra CEO, Romain Leray, are pleased to announce the launch of iTerra, an agricultural technology subsidiary dedicated to non-chemical weed control within I-Pulse, the world leader in pulsed power technologies. This press release features multimedia. View the full release here: https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20260311080724/en/ iTerra leverages I-Pulse’s proprietary high pulsed power technology to eliminate weeds at the root without harming crops, disrupting soil microbiology, or leaving chemical residues. Using AI-driven detection with accuracy rates of up to 95% in early trials, the system targets each weed individually with controlled, high-energy pulses lasting just five milliseconds. The treated weeds r
Canva Introduces Magic Layers, Turning Static AI Outputs Into Editable Designs11.3.2026 14:00:00 CET | Press release
Breakthrough in Canva Design Model now unlocks ability to transform flat content and images into layered and fully editable designs Canva, the world's leading all-in-one visual communication platform, today unveiled Magic Layers, a new breakthrough technology that turns any flat design or image into something you can edit, refine, and remix to suit your vision. This press release features multimedia. View the full release here: https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20260311951174/en/ Magic Layers is a new breakthrough technology that turns any flat design or image into something you can edit, refine, and remix to suit your vision. Generative AI has triggered a flood of visual content, but most of it remains locked in static image files. Even small changes can require starting over, with reprompts that can unintentionally alter the entire design. Powered by years of internal research and Canva’s growing investment in its AI development arm, Magic Layers ushers in a new era of editable
Xsolla Releases New Industry Report Identifying the Biggest Opportunities for the Future of Video Games for Developers11.3.2026 14:00:00 CET | Press release
The Xsolla Report Reveals How Studios Are Unlocking New Revenue, Reaching Global Audiences, and Building Durable Competitive Advantages Xsolla, a leading global video game commerce company, today released the latest edition of The Xsolla Report, timed to coincide with this week's activations and collaborations in San Francisco. This edition provides insights from working with thousands of studios to map out where the industry’s biggest opportunities are emerging. This press release features multimedia. View the full release here: https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20260311021020/en/ Graphic: Xsolla The gaming industry remains extraordinarily vibrant, and the playbook for success is changing. Studios that are adapting their commercial strategies, embracing direct-to-player commerce, expanding into high-growth global markets, and leveraging AI to sharpen operations are pulling ahead and building businesses designed to thrive for years to come. "The economics of game development have
Adtran plays key role in OIF’s OFC 2026 interoperability demo with FSP 3000 OLS, ZR+ coherent plugs and domain controller11.3.2026 14:00:00 CET | Press release
News summary: Live OIF demo brings together 40 companies to highlight real‑world multi‑vendor operation across open optical networks Showcase demonstrates interoperable 100G, 400G and 800G ZR+ transport over open line systems with multi-domain control Adtran’s ZR+ pluggables feature across both the OIF demo and plugfest, highlighting their role in open, multi-vendor deployments at scale Adtran today announced it’s playing a key role in the OIF’s multi-vendor interoperability demo at OFC 2026. The showcase brings together 40 member companies, highlighting real‑world operation across open optical networks. It validates multi‑vendor 100Gbit/s, 400Gbit/s and 800Gbit/s ZR+ coherent pluggable transceivers operating over open line systems. Featuring Adtran’s FSP 3000 OLS, coherent ZR+ pluggable optics and Mosaic Network Controller, the setup extends previous years’ configurations to include C‑ and L‑band operation and multi‑layer domain control. Adtran’s 800Gbit/s ZR+ pluggables also feature
In our pressroom you can read all our latest releases, find our press contacts, images, documents and other relevant information about us.
Visit our pressroom