NY-MOODY’S-ANALYTICS
4.6.2020 14:02:09 CEST | Business Wire | Press release
According to the Moody’s Analytics baseline economic forecast, real global GDP will fall by 4.5% this year as a result of COVID-19. Our base case for the US suggests that it will take until mid-decade for the economy to return to full-employment. Mark Zandi, Chief Economist at Moody’s Analytics, describes the outlook in a new paper, Handicapping the Paths for the Pandemic Economy .
“COVID-19 has caused massive damage to the global economy. Quickly reopening economies will boost growth by unleashing pent-up demand, but will also raise the specter of a re-intensification of COVID-19 and another economic downdraft, which could lead to a worldwide depression. We construct our economic forecasts to help market participants navigate this daunting uncertainty and make better decisions,” said Mr. Zandi.
The Moody’s Analytics baseline economic forecast represents our view of the most likely trajectory for the global economy. The baseline forecast is part of a set of 12 forecast scenarios , updated monthly, that project alternative economic paths for more than 100 countries as well as sub-national regions in major markets. These scenarios are driven by different assumptions regarding the epidemiology of COVID-19, demand-side factors including monetary and fiscal policies, and longer-run structural forces such as sovereign debt loads and globalization. To help users, each scenario is assigned a probability based on its relative severity and our view of how likely it is to occur.
“Given the unprecedented uncertainty around the path of the virus and the policy response, we maintain several alternative scenarios that cover a range of possible outcomes to help users assess the impact on their businesses and portfolios,” added Mr. Zandi. “Our global team of economists is dedicated to developing scenarios that account for current conditions and the various risks facing economies that may impact their outlook.”
Forecasts are based on the Moody’s Analytics Global Macroeconomic Model, which balances economic theory and empirical behavior and is fully documented and validated. In addition to the probability-weighted monthly scenarios, Moody’s Analytics produces ad hoc thematic economic scenarios that forecast potential outcomes in the event of significant policy shifts or changes to economic fundamentals. Our new Global Debt Crisis thematic scenario examines the consequences of high and rising sovereign debt in the event that global growth slows and governments in both developed and emerging markets are unable to address their high and rising debt loads.
Our economic forecast scenarios can be accessed and downloaded in a variety of formats through a standalone subscription or with our dedicated economic and credit risk modeling tools.
The accuracy of our forecasting was recently recognized in the 2020 FocusEconomics Analyst Forecast Awards, where Moody’s Analytics ranked #1 in 14 categories.
Our economic forecast scenarios are one of a number of Moody’s Analytics solutions that help leaders across industries make better decisions in the COVID-19 environment.
About Moody’s Analytics
Moody’s Analytics provides financial intelligence and analytical tools to help business leaders make better, faster decisions. Our deep risk expertise, expansive information resources, and innovative application of technology help our clients confidently navigate an evolving marketplace. We are known for our industry-leading and award-winning solutions, made up of research, data, software, and professional services, assembled to deliver a seamless customer experience. We create confidence in thousands of organizations worldwide, with our commitment to excellence, open mindset approach, and focus on meeting customer needs. For more information about Moody’s Analytics, visit our website or connect with us on Twitter or LinkedIn .
Moody's Analytics, Inc. is a subsidiary of Moody's Corporation (NYSE: MCO). Moody’s Corporation reported revenue of $4.8 billion in 2019, employs approximately 11,300 people worldwide and maintains a presence in 40 countries.
View source version on businesswire.com: https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20200604005227/en/
Link:
About Business Wire
Subscribe to releases from Business Wire
Subscribe to all the latest releases from Business Wire by registering your e-mail address below. You can unsubscribe at any time.
Latest releases from Business Wire
Multi-Color Corporation Receives Court Approval of First Day Motions4.2.2026 21:30:00 CET | Press release
Obtains Interim Approval to Access $125 Million of DIP FinancingGlobal Operations and Services to Customers Continue in Normal Course Without Interruption During Restructuring Process; All Trade Vendors and Suppliers to be Paid in Full Multi-Color Corporation (“MCC” or the “Company”), a global leader in prime label solutions, today announced that it has received approval from the U.S. Bankruptcy Court for the District of New Jersey (the “Court”) for first day relief related to its prepackaged Chapter 11 filed on January 29, 2026. The approved relief affirms that the Company will operate in the normal course, pay all trade vendors and suppliers in full, and maintain a strong liquidity position during the restructuring. As part of this relief, the Court granted MCC immediate access to $125 million of $250 million in debtor-in-possession (“DIP”) new money financing, provided by certain holders of MCC’s secured first lien debt and its equity sponsor, CD&R. This funding will capitalize the
Andersen Consulting udvider med samarbejdsfirmaet Saratoga Software4.2.2026 18:43:00 CET | Pressemeddelelse
Andersen Consulting styrker sit udbud inden for digital transformation med tilføjelsen af samarbejdspartneren Saratoga Software, en leverandør af softwareleverancer og specialiserede teknologiløsninger. Saratoga Software blev grundlagt i 1998 og tilbyder virksomheder, især inden for den finansielle sektor og fintech-branchen, en omfattende række tjenester, herunder specialudviklede softwareløsninger, forretningsanalyse, platformsintegration og support, kvalitetssikring, projektledelse samt data engineering og business intelligence. Med kontorer i Sydafrika og Storbritannien specialiserer firmaet sig også i løsninger inden for ai og machine learning samt cloud-migrering, kundekommunikationsstyring og strategisk teknologirådgivning. "Vores team besidder dyb ingeniørfaglig ekspertise, anciennitet og en dokumenteret evne til at løse komplekse problemer – kvaliteter, der gør os til betroede rådgivere for vores kunder," udtalte Anthony Robinson, bestyrelsesformand for Saratoga Software. "At
InterSystems Honored with Four 2026 Best in KLAS Awards4.2.2026 18:00:00 CET | Press release
Recognized for excellence in Acute Care EHR and Shared Care Records across Asia, Oceania, and Europe InterSystems, a creative data technology provider powering more than one billion health records globally, today announced it has received four Global 2026 Best in KLAS awards. The company earned a #1 ranking for Acute Care EHR in Asia, Oceania, and France, as well as for Shared Care Records in Europe. This press release features multimedia. View the full release here: https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20260204241673/en/ InterSystems earns four Best in KLAS awards for 2026 Best in KLAS is KLAS Research’s annual recognition of top-performing healthcare technology and services solutions, based entirely on feedback from healthcare provider organizations. Awards are given within defined software and services market segments evaluated by KLAS Research using a standardized methodology that reflects customer experience and performance. In addition to U.S. market segments, KLAS also recogni
Onego Bio Strengthens Board with Appointment of Dr. Antti Vasara4.2.2026 16:00:00 CET | Press release
Onego Bio, the food ingredient company producing non-animal egg protein through precision fermentation, today announced that Dr. Antti Vasara has joined its board of directors. This press release features multimedia. View the full release here: https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20260204881159/en/ Dr. Antti Vasara Dr. Vasara brings more than 25 years of global experience in science, technology, and commercial strategy. Most recently, he served as President and CEO of VTT Technical Research Centre of Finland, where he led one of Europe’s foremost deep tech research organizations. His distinguished career spans senior leadership roles in industry and innovation policy—including impactful work with Nokia and strategic contributions to European research and development initiatives. “Antti is one of the most respected leaders in science and innovation,” said Maija Itkonen, CEO of Onego Bio. “His deep understanding of technology commercialization and ecosystem level strategy will be inva
Energy Vault announces the Award of 100 MW / 870 MWh Long-Term Energy Service Agreement to its Development Partner in Australia4.2.2026 15:09:00 CET | Press release
Energy Vault’s development partner in Australia, Bridge Energy, has secured a 14-year Long-Term Energy Service Agreement (LTESA) for the EBOR Battery Energy Storage System (BESS) project (100 MW / 870 MWh), under the NSW Electricity Infrastructure RoadmapEnergy Vault holds the exclusive option to acquire and construct the A$310 million project having supported Bridge through early stage developmentThe project will feature Energy Vault’s proprietary B-VAULT™ technology and Vault-OS™ Energy Management System software to provide essential grid firming capacityEnergy Vault acquired the Stoney Creek 125 MW / 1,000 MWh project in New South Wales in 2025, which also holds an LTESA, as Energy Vault rapidly expands its Australian footprint Energy Vault Holdings, Inc. (NYSE: NRGV) (“Energy Vault”), a leader in sustainable, grid-scale energy storage solutions, and Bridge Energy Pty Ltd (“Bridge Energy”), an Australian developer bridging the gap between fossil fuels and renewable energy, today ann
In our pressroom you can read all our latest releases, find our press contacts, images, documents and other relevant information about us.
Visit our pressroom