NY-MOODY’S-ANALYTICS
4.6.2020 14:02:09 CEST | Business Wire | Press release
According to the Moody’s Analytics baseline economic forecast, real global GDP will fall by 4.5% this year as a result of COVID-19. Our base case for the US suggests that it will take until mid-decade for the economy to return to full-employment. Mark Zandi, Chief Economist at Moody’s Analytics, describes the outlook in a new paper, Handicapping the Paths for the Pandemic Economy .
“COVID-19 has caused massive damage to the global economy. Quickly reopening economies will boost growth by unleashing pent-up demand, but will also raise the specter of a re-intensification of COVID-19 and another economic downdraft, which could lead to a worldwide depression. We construct our economic forecasts to help market participants navigate this daunting uncertainty and make better decisions,” said Mr. Zandi.
The Moody’s Analytics baseline economic forecast represents our view of the most likely trajectory for the global economy. The baseline forecast is part of a set of 12 forecast scenarios , updated monthly, that project alternative economic paths for more than 100 countries as well as sub-national regions in major markets. These scenarios are driven by different assumptions regarding the epidemiology of COVID-19, demand-side factors including monetary and fiscal policies, and longer-run structural forces such as sovereign debt loads and globalization. To help users, each scenario is assigned a probability based on its relative severity and our view of how likely it is to occur.
“Given the unprecedented uncertainty around the path of the virus and the policy response, we maintain several alternative scenarios that cover a range of possible outcomes to help users assess the impact on their businesses and portfolios,” added Mr. Zandi. “Our global team of economists is dedicated to developing scenarios that account for current conditions and the various risks facing economies that may impact their outlook.”
Forecasts are based on the Moody’s Analytics Global Macroeconomic Model, which balances economic theory and empirical behavior and is fully documented and validated. In addition to the probability-weighted monthly scenarios, Moody’s Analytics produces ad hoc thematic economic scenarios that forecast potential outcomes in the event of significant policy shifts or changes to economic fundamentals. Our new Global Debt Crisis thematic scenario examines the consequences of high and rising sovereign debt in the event that global growth slows and governments in both developed and emerging markets are unable to address their high and rising debt loads.
Our economic forecast scenarios can be accessed and downloaded in a variety of formats through a standalone subscription or with our dedicated economic and credit risk modeling tools.
The accuracy of our forecasting was recently recognized in the 2020 FocusEconomics Analyst Forecast Awards, where Moody’s Analytics ranked #1 in 14 categories.
Our economic forecast scenarios are one of a number of Moody’s Analytics solutions that help leaders across industries make better decisions in the COVID-19 environment.
About Moody’s Analytics
Moody’s Analytics provides financial intelligence and analytical tools to help business leaders make better, faster decisions. Our deep risk expertise, expansive information resources, and innovative application of technology help our clients confidently navigate an evolving marketplace. We are known for our industry-leading and award-winning solutions, made up of research, data, software, and professional services, assembled to deliver a seamless customer experience. We create confidence in thousands of organizations worldwide, with our commitment to excellence, open mindset approach, and focus on meeting customer needs. For more information about Moody’s Analytics, visit our website or connect with us on Twitter or LinkedIn .
Moody's Analytics, Inc. is a subsidiary of Moody's Corporation (NYSE: MCO). Moody’s Corporation reported revenue of $4.8 billion in 2019, employs approximately 11,300 people worldwide and maintains a presence in 40 countries.
View source version on businesswire.com: https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20200604005227/en/
Link:
About Business Wire
Subscribe to releases from Business Wire
Subscribe to all the latest releases from Business Wire by registering your e-mail address below. You can unsubscribe at any time.
Latest releases from Business Wire
Incyte Announces New Positive 54-Week Late-Breaking Data for Povorcitinib in Hidradenitis Suppurativa at the 2026 American Academy of Dermatology (AAD) Annual Meeting28.3.2026 20:00:00 CET | Press release
Phase 3 data from the STOP-HS program demonstrate povorcitinib’s substantial and durable clinical efficacy through Week 54 in patients with moderate to severe hidradenitis suppurativa (HS). Through Week 54, clinically meaningful and durable responses were observed across all groups in both STOP-HS1 and STOP-HS2, with up to 71.4% of patients achieving HiSCR50. Improvements in clinical responses across high stringent thresholds were observed, with up to 57% of participants achieving HiSCR75 and up to 29% of participants achieving HiSCR100. Povorcitinib treatment led to consistent reductions across key inflammatory lesion types, with full resolution (ANdT=0) achieved in up to 20% of patients. Additionally, clinically meaningful improvements in quality-of-life measures, including skin pain and fatigue, were observed at Week 54. The overall safety profile of povorcitinib through 54 weeks is consistent with previously reported data, and both doses were well tolerated. Incyte (Nasdaq:INCY) to
Takeda’s Zasocitinib Delivered Rapid and Durable Skin Clearance in a Convenient Once-Daily Pill, Affirming Promise to Reshape Psoriasis Care28.3.2026 20:00:00 CET | Press release
About 70% of patients treated with zasocitinib achieved clear or almost clear skin (sPGA 0/1) at week 16 in Phase 3 plaque psoriasis studies A significantly greater PASI 75 response rate versus placebo was observed as early as week 4 Safety profile consistent with Phase 2b studies with no new safety signals identified Takeda(TSE:4502/NYSE:TAK)today announced new data from the two pivotal Phase 3studies of zasocitinib (TAK-279), a next-generation, highly selective oral tyrosine kinase 2 (TYK2) inhibitor, in adults with moderate-to-severe plaque psoriasis (PsO).1 Presented as a late-breaking abstract at the 2026 American Academy of Dermatology (AAD) Annual Meeting, these data show that convenient once-daily oral zasocitinib demonstrated rapid and durable skin clearance with a safety profile consistent with Phase 2b studies.1,2 “Our goal in psoriasis treatment is clear or almost clear skin, and previously this has been achieved primarily with injectable therapies,” said Melinda Gooderham,
AAD 2026: Late-Breaking Nemolizumab Data Demonstrate Clinically Meaningful Benefits for Children Aged 2 to 11 With Moderate-to-Severe Atopic Dermatitis28.3.2026 16:00:00 CET | Press release
Pharmacokinetics, safety and efficacy clinical study data show that nemolizumab achieved clinically meaningful reductions in skin lesions and itch through Week 16, which were sustained up to a year in children aged 2 to 11 with moderate-to-severe atopic dermatitis1 These findings reinforce the previously established safety and efficacy of nemolizumab in adults and adolescents with moderate-to-severe atopic dermatitis, for which it is approved by multiple global regulatory authorities2,3 Up to 25% of children are affected by atopic dermatitis, and currently there are limited approved treatment options for children living with moderate-to-severe atopic dermatitis4,5 Galderma (SIX: GALD) today announced new phase II data showing that nemolizumab was well tolerated and effective in children (aged 2 to 11 years) with moderate-to-severe atopic dermatitis, with a clinically meaningful and sustained reduction in skin lesions and itch for up to a year.1 Results will be presented in a late-break
Angelalign Technology (6699.HK)Releases 2025 Results: Passion for Clinical Excellence Drives Worldwide Growth27.3.2026 20:56:00 CET | Press release
Angelalign Technology Inc. (6699.HK) (“Angel” or the “Company”) released its financial results for fiscal year 2025. During the reporting period, the Company continued to do well in both the global and China markets. Total case volume was 532,400, which increased 48.1%, revenue was USD 370.3 million, which increased 37.8%, and adjusted net profit was USD 43.8 million, which increased 63.0%. The results were driven by Angel’s passion for clinical excellence and its open and inclusive culture that empowers talented people to work together to meet customer needs, the Company said. Fox Hu, CEO of Angel, stated: “The clear aligner industry is complex and multidisciplinary. It requires top-tier technical and operational talent along with seamless collaboration among professionals from diverse geographies. Angel’s open and inclusive culture attracts professionals who share a passion for clinical excellence and a dedication to bringing outstanding products and services to customers. This melti
Axway Positioned as a Leader in the IDC MarketScape: Worldwide API Management 2026 Vendor Assessment27.3.2026 18:46:00 CET | Press release
Axway, a 74Software company (Euronext: 74SW) and global leader in federated API management and enterprise integration, has been named a Leader in the IDC MarketScape: Worldwide API Management 2026 Vendor Assessment.1 Axway Amplify securely connects, orchestrates, and automates data integration. Organizations in financial services, manufacturing, healthcare, and other industries rely on Amplify to modernize integrations and confidently unlock data to deliver superior digital services faster. The report notes: “The platform benefits from Axway’s long-standing experience in B2B integration, secure file transfer, and legacy connectivity, providing differentiated capabilities for organizations that need to expose and control APIs around core systems that are not cloud-native.”1 This multi-pattern expertise in security, integration, and federated governance — built during the early phases of the API-driven digital transformation — becomes especially critical as enterprises seek to govern dat
In our pressroom you can read all our latest releases, find our press contacts, images, documents and other relevant information about us.
Visit our pressroom