CIRIUM
Cirium, the world’s most trusted source of aviation analytics, has today published its 2023 Fleet Forecast, through the Cirium Ascend Consultancy, revealing that annual passenger aircraft deliveries are set to exceed $100 billion in 2024.
This press release features multimedia. View the full release here: https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20240111094841/en/
Figure 1: Forecast deliveries 2023-2042 (Graphic: Business Wire)
The forecast, which enters its eleventh year of publication, also predicts that freight capacity will grow 4.1% annually compared with 2022, and that 3,590 freighter aircraft will be supplied over the next 20 years, including 1,060 new build aircraft and 2,530 conversions from passenger aircraft.
Airbus and Boeing will continue to dominate the commercial aircraft manufacturing space, with a combined delivery projection of 89% of all aircraft through to 2042.
Rob Morris, Head of Consultancy, at Cirium Ascend Consultancy, said: “With global traffic almost back to 2019 levels, the increased levels of order activity in 2023 shows that the airline industry’s new growth cycle is gaining momentum. The 2023 Cirium Fleet Forecast predicts new deliveries will total $3.2 trillion over the next 20 years.
The CFF capacity modelling gives an independent view of future demand for aircraft and questions such as: are higher single-aisle production volumes justified? What will be shares between A321neo and 737-10, A350-1000 and 777-9, A350F and 777-8F? Airbus and Boeing are forecast to take almost 90% of the market but when could they introduce new programmes and what market share will new Chinese programmes take?”
From a regional perspective, Asia will continue to lead the way, with China forecast to have the highest passenger capacity growth rate at over 8%. This will make it the largest single country in the region for deliveries, with a 19% share of global deliveries, ahead of all other Asia-Pacific countries with a combined share of 24%.
North American airlines follow with 20% and Europe with 18%. Middle East airlines will take 7% of deliveries, but the share rises to 11% in value terms due to the rich mix of higher value twin-aisle deliveries.
The Cirium Fleet Forecast adopts a scenario-based approach that favours examining the most up to date information available, combined with expert commentary and analysis. This year’s forecast is based on the recently adjusted version of Ascend’s 2022 Recovery Scenario 7, which is detailed in the full Fleet Forecast report.
To download the executive summary, please visit: https://www.cirium.com/solutions/cirium-fleet-forecast/ or contact Cirium to purchase the full report: https://www.cirium.com/about/contact-us/
About Cirium
Cirium is the world’s most trusted source of aviation analytics. Through powerful data and analytics, coupled with decades of industry experience, Cirium is enabling airlines, airports, travel companies, aircraft manufacturers, and financial institutions, amongst others, to make intelligent and informed decisions that improve operations, grow revenues, and enhance customer experiences.
Cirium is part of RELX, a global provider of information-based analytics and decision tools for professional and business customers. The shares of RELX PLC are traded on the London, Amsterdam and New York Stock Exchanges using the following ticker symbols: London: REL; Amsterdam: REN; New York: RELX.
For further information please follow Cirium updates on LinkedIn or visit www.cirium.com.
To view this piece of content from cts.businesswire.com, please give your consent at the top of this page.
View source version on businesswire.com: https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20240111094841/en/
About Business Wire
Subscribe to releases from Business Wire
Subscribe to all the latest releases from Business Wire by registering your e-mail address below. You can unsubscribe at any time.
Latest releases from Business Wire
Riskified Analysis Reveals 1 in 4 Refund Dollars Is Abusive; Introduces "Dynamic Returns," a New Policy Protect Feature, to Safeguard Revenue While Increasing Customer Satisfaction12.1.2026 14:00:00 CET | Press release
Riskified (NYSE: RSKD) a leader in ecommerce fraud and risk intelligence, today released a research analysis highlighting a growing customer experience dilemma: As merchants tighten controls to fight a surge in return and refund abuse, they are inadvertently creating a more restrictive and frustrating experience for their best customers. To help retailers mitigate this challenge, Riskified has introduced a new feature in its Policy Protect solution, Dynamic Returns, AI-powered return decisions that adapt in real-time based on customer eligibility. Riskified's 2024 analysis of over a million refund claims found that 1-2% of total order value measured in sales dollars was requested back as refunds, with nearly 1 in 4 dollars claimed being abusive. In response to rising abuse, many retailers are implementing restrictive tactics like flat return fees, shorter return windows, and delaying refunds, often taking 10+ days for warehouse inspection. These measures frustrate good customers, as 68
Esri’s Custom Chart Builder Adopted by the Shom (French Hydrographic and Oceanographic Office) for Nautical Chart Production12.1.2026 14:00:00 CET | Press release
Geospatial Solution for Safety-Critical Maritime Use Sets Global Benchmark for Chart Automation Esri, the global leader in location intelligence, announced today that the Shom (French Hydrographic and Oceanographic Office) has officially adopted Custom Chart Builder (CCB) for automated production of all paper nautical charts. Following extensive testing and configuration, Shom confirmed that CCB-generated charts meet the stringent safety standards required by the French Navy, marking a pivotal advancement in automating maritime cartography and reinforcing its role as a pioneer in maritime digital transformation. “This adoption demonstrates that high-quality, regulation-compliant paper charts can now be produced without manual intervention, dramatically reducing production time and cost,” said Rafael Ponce, Esri principal maritime consultant. “Shom’s endorsement validates Esri’s CCB as a trusted solution for hydrographic offices worldwide, supporting the transition to digital-first work
Cellares Expands Global Smart Factory Network With European Headquarters in the Netherlands12.1.2026 13:30:00 CET | Press release
Cellares’ new IDMO Smart Factory in Leiden, Netherlands, expands commercial-scale manufacturing capacity for European cell therapy patient populations through a standardized, automated, and highly scalable facility model Cellares, the first Integrated Development and Manufacturing Organization (IDMO), today announced it has secured a site and signed a long-term lease for a new IDMO Smart Factory at Leiden Bio Science Park (LBSP) with Dura Vermeer Commercieel Vastgoed. The facility will serve as Cellares’ European headquarters and expand the company’s global manufacturing network with dedicated regional capacity. Cell therapy manufacturing is patient-specific and time-sensitive, making regional production capacity increasingly important as programs advance from clinical development toward commercial supply. The new Netherlands hub is designed to provide European drug developers with access to automated manufacturing infrastructure, while maintaining alignment to a common production stan
France Expands National AAC Access for Agenus' Botensilimab + Balstilimab for Ovarian Cancer and Soft-Tissue Sarcomas12.1.2026 13:30:00 CET | Press release
Updated national AAC protocol supports hospital-based, fully-reimbursed compassionate access across three solid tumor settings Agenus Inc. (Nasdaq: AGEN), a leader in immuno-oncology innovation, today announced that France’s National Agency for Medicines and Health Products Safety (ANSM) has approved an updated national treatment protocol for botensilimab (BOT) plus balstilimab (BAL) under France’s Autorisation d’Accès Compassionnel (AAC) framework. The updated protocol expands France’s previously granted AAC authorization for BOT+BAL in patients with microsatellite-stable (MSS) metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC) without active liver metastases to eligible patients with certain ovarian cancers and soft-tissue sarcomas—diseases with substantial unmet medical need after standard options have been exhausted. The revised protocol is designed to broaden the eligibility criteria, allowing more patients with advanced solid tumors to have early access to BOT+BAL under reimbursed compassionate
Lilac and Traxys Announce Binding 10-Year Offtake Agreement for Great Salt Lake Lithium Production12.1.2026 13:00:00 CET | Press release
Definitive agreement secures 100% of Phase 1 production, advancing project toward final investment decision Lilac Solutions, a leading provider of direct lithium extraction technology, and Traxys North America, a leading global physical trader and merchant in metals and natural resources, today announced a binding 10-year offtake agreement for lithium carbonate produced at Lilac's Great Salt Lake facility in Utah. The agreement represents a major milestone in advancing the project toward construction and establishes a clear commercial pathway for one of the nearest-term domestic lithium projects in the United States. Under the terms of the definitive agreement, Traxys will purchase 50,000 tonnes of lithium carbonate over a 10-year period, representing 100% of the planned Phase 1 production capacity. The agreement is take-or-pay, with agreed pricing mechanisms linked to market indices. The Great Salt Lake Phase 1 facility is designed to produce 5,000 tonnes per annum of battery-grade li
In our pressroom you can read all our latest releases, find our press contacts, images, documents and other relevant information about us.
Visit our pressroom